Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.174763 0.203969 0.236015 0.273715 0.316775 0.364345 0.420799
2026-01-25 0.124765 0.163807 0.211239 0.272754 0.350025 0.443447 0.564472
2026-02-01 0.095835 0.137708 0.192665 0.269306 0.372515 0.505652 0.689171
2026-02-08 0.076450 0.118580 0.177577 0.264949 0.389482 0.558740 0.803865
2026-02-15 0.060927 0.101304 0.161251 0.254913 0.395258 0.594879 0.896567
2026-02-22 0.054819 0.096672 0.161935 0.268547 0.435005 0.680712 1.065074
2026-03-01 0.045553 0.085254 0.150291 0.261350 0.441927 0.718315 1.165386
2026-03-08 0.037750 0.074833 0.138524 0.251966 0.443608 0.747045 1.253366
2026-03-15 0.032027 0.067034 0.129897 0.246343 0.450134 0.782995 1.354369
2026-03-22 0.028748 0.063190 0.127549 0.250996 0.473865 0.847926 1.506049
2026-03-29 0.026701 0.061385 0.128587 0.261618 0.508604 0.933341 1.697184
2026-04-05 0.024252 0.058334 0.126815 0.266700 0.533699 1.003967 1.868046
2026-04-12 0.021679 0.054665 0.123488 0.268694 0.553811 1.068365 2.034605
2026-04-19 0.019241 0.050877 0.119425 0.268773 0.570346 1.127766 2.197009
2026-04-26 0.016850 0.046753 0.114053 0.265477 0.579861 1.174860 2.340323
2026-05-03 0.014717 0.042841 0.108563 0.261188 0.586791 1.217344 2.477720
2026-05-10 0.012503 0.038278 0.100930 0.251282 0.581158 1.235221 2.569934
2026-05-17 0.012021 0.038202 0.103711 0.264741 0.625324 1.352584 2.858986
2026-05-24 0.010410 0.034706 0.097784 0.257636 0.624906 1.381698 2.978827
2026-05-31 0.008909 0.031200 0.091297 0.248373 0.618748 1.398531 3.075183
2026-06-07 0.007780 0.028556 0.086609 0.242823 0.620227 1.430899 3.204450
2026-06-14 0.007207 0.027530 0.086051 0.247415 0.645239 1.514113 3.442458
2026-06-21 0.006910 0.027338 0.087744 0.257901 0.684870 1.630970 3.756942